FORWARD-LOOKING ECONOMIC INDICATORS — October 04, 2026 COMPOSITE SCORE: 54.6/100 3-Month: NEUTRAL | 6-Month: NEUTRAL | 12-Month: NEUTRAL POSITIONING: BALANCED — 60/40 allocation
Indicator Detail
- Core Capex Orders YoY%
- 14.11 Score:100/100 (2026-08-01)
- Consumer Sentiment
- 51.70 Score:0/100 (2026-08-01)
- Housing Starts
- 1275.00 Score:50/100 (2026-08-01)
- Industrial Production YoY%
- 1.42 Score:50/100 (2026-08-01)
- Retail Sales YoY%
- 5.36 Score:50/100 (2026-08-01)
- Durable Goods Orders MoM%
- -0.07 Score:0/100 (2026-08-01)
- Initial Jobless Claims
- 197000.00 Score:100/100 (2026-09-26)
- Chicago Fed Activity Index
- -0.04 Score:50/100 (2026-08-01)
- Yield Curve 10Y-2Y
- 0.45 Score:60/100 (2026-10-02)
- Services Employment YoY%
- 0.25 Score:25/100 (2026-09-01)
- Recession Probability
- 0.62 Score:100/100 (2026-08-01)
- High-Yield Spread
- 3.24 Score:75/100 (2026-10-01)
- Real 10Y Yield
- 2.88 Score:25/100 (2026-10-01)